Forecasting Reprints for Liliana, Untouched by Death: The Statistical Outlook

If you’ve ever chased a coveted mythic in a core-set, you know the thrill of imagining the next reprint—will it pop up in a new edition, a Masters set, or a surprise anthology? Let’s lean into the numbers and talk about predicting future reprints for Liliana, Untouched by Death, a standout from Core Set 2019 🧙‍♂️🔥💎. With its black mana cost, unique mill synergy, and zombie-flavored control, this Liliana has a flavor profile that sticks in both casual kitchens and competitive brews. The card’s core identity—Black, with a 2BB mana cost and a four-mana loyalty—gives us a few statistical footholds to consider when forecasting reprints.

From a data perspective, reprint likelihood tends to hinge on a mix of rarity, mechanic design, and practical demand. Liliana, Untouched by Death is a mythic in M19, a rarity category that historically enjoys attention but not always a rapid follow-up reprint. Its color identity is pure black, which often sees broad appeal across Modern, Commander, and eternal formats. The card’s mana curve, at 4 mana with a loyalty of 4, sits in a sweet spot for reprint discussions: not flagship power level on the level of a top-tier planeswalker, but still a memorable showcase that designers like to re-run when a zombie or mill theme resurfaces. And yes, the zombie-laden text—mill three, ping life loss to opponents if a zombie lands in the mill—feeds nostalgia for Zombie tribal decks and EDH enthusiasts alike 🧟‍♂️🎲.

The card profile that matters for reprints

Here’s a compact snapshot of the Liliana in question, pulled directly from the card data you’d expect from Scryfall and related databases:

• Name: Liliana, Untouched by Death
• Set: Core Set 2019 (M19)
• Rarity: Mythic
• Colors: Black (B)
• Mana Cost: 2BB
• Type: Legendary Planeswalker — Liliana
• Loyalty: 4
• Abilities:

  +1: Mill three cards. If at least one Zombie card is milled this way, each opponent loses 2 life and you gain 2 life.
  −2: Target creature gets -X/-X until end of turn, where X is the number of Zombies you control.
  −3: You may cast Zombie spells from your graveyard this turn.

• Color identity: B
• Legalities: Historic, Modern, Legacy, Commander, etc. (not Standard in most cycles)
• Market figures (illustrative): roughly USD 1.69 nonfoil, USD 11.99 foil

Its design weaves classic Liliana flavor with a zombie-centric toolkit, giving players tangible late-game leverage while rewarding graveyard interaction. That synergy matters when predicting reprints, because sets that push reprint cycles often want a harmony between iconic characters and evergreen mechanics. The art and flavor from Bastien L. Deharme also help—thematic appeal isn’t just about raw power; it’s about the story you can tell at the table ✨🎨.

Statistical levers that predict reprints

Forecasting reprints is less about crystal balls and more about a constellation of signals. Consider these levers, often cited by analysts and tested by market trackers:

• Mythics in core sets tend to get another look as designers experiment with new narratives and a broader card pool.
• tribal and mechanic resonance: Zombies have a recurring presence in design space across formats, making zombie-themed walkers appealing for future reprints or variants.
• EDH and casual demand: Popular commanders and archetypes boost long-tail demand, nudging reprint probability upward. Liliana’s lifelike, necromantic mystique translates well to casual and competitive play alike.
• Price and availability: While not the sole driver, price stability and reprint cycles in adjacent blocks influence whether a card returns in a future set.
• Set shape and cycle history: Core sets often reintroduce and remix fan-favorite planeswalkers, sometimes with updated artwork or alternate frames to spark renewed interest.

For Liliana, Untouched by Death, these factors align in a way that makes a reprint plausible but not guaranteed. The card isn’t a current Standard staple, which can dampen immediate pressure for a reprint, but its mythic status, zombie synergy, and broad format legality keep it on the radar for future design considerations 🧭⚖️.

A practical forecasting model you can test

Here’s a simple, editable model you can try with publicly available card data. It’s not a guarantee, but it’s a structured way to think about probability:

• Assign a base likelihood to Mythic cards in core sets (e.g., 0.15 for a 15% baseline year-to-year reprint chance).
• Adjust by “set type impact” using a multiplier when the card appears in a core set vs. expansion (core sets often include reprint opportunities in later blocks).
• Factor in “mechanic/tribe resonance” by giving zombies and mill a small positive bump in the probability (e.g., +0.05 if the card features Zombies or graveyard play).
• Include demand proxies (EDH popularity, price stability, and playability in Modern/Legacy) with modest weight adjustments.
• Incorporate timing: the farther away a card is from its last print, the higher the potential, unless broken by overarching reprint cycles.

Plug in the Liliana data, run a few rounds, and you’ll see how sensitive reprint probabilities are to a handful of levers. The exercise isn’t about predicting the exact year—though that would be delightful—it’s about cultivating a disciplined approach to what usually triggers a reprint in the MTG machine 🧙‍♂️⚙️.

What a Liliana reprint could look like in practice

If a reprint comes, design considerations abound. We might see a fresh art variant, perhaps another iconic zombie motif, or even a different frame in a later release. The core abilities could remain, given their thematic fit, or be lightly rebalanced to suit modern power levels. Whether in a Mystery Booster, a Commander-focused drop, or a broader standard-rotation event, Liliana’s undead toolkit has a universal appeal that transcends one format. The evolving landscape of MTG design invites playful what-ifs, and the best guesses often reward those who track both the numbers and the vibes 🧩✨.

Meanwhile, collectors and players alike keep an eye on market signals. The current nonfoil price around USD 1.69 and foil around USD 11.99 hints at stable demand without extraordinary scarcity—an environment that can either nudge a reprint sooner or keep it safely tucked away until a more thematically resonant moment arises 💎⚔️.

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